{"id":10369,"date":"2020-11-18T09:27:44","date_gmt":"2020-11-18T09:27:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp.erdmost.hu\/2020\/11\/18\/jarvany-ellen-maszk-es-maszk-segitheti-virus-elleni-vedekezest\/"},"modified":"2020-11-18T09:27:44","modified_gmt":"2020-11-18T09:27:44","slug":"jarvany-ellen-maszk-es-maszk-segitheti-virus-elleni-vedekezest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/2020\/11\/18\/jarvany-ellen-maszk-es-maszk-segitheti-virus-elleni-vedekezest\/","title":{"rendered":"J\u00e1rv\u00e1ny ellen maszk \u00e9s MASZK \u2013 \u00d6n is seg\u00edtheti a v\u00edrus elleni v\u00e9dekez\u00e9st!"},"content":{"rendered":"

A v\u00edrusterjed\u00e9s szimul\u00e1ci\u00f3ja m\u00e9g a mai nagy kapacit\u00e1s\u00fa sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00f3g\u00e9peknek is neh\u00e9z feladat, mivel kapcsolati h\u00e1l\u00f3zataink kiterjedtek, bonyolultak, r\u00e1ad\u00e1sul id\u0151ben \u2013 nem kis m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben \u00e9pp a v\u00edrusv\u00e9delmi int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek miatt \u2013 igencsak v\u00e1ltoz\u00f3ak. A hagyom\u00e1nyos szimul\u00e1ci\u00f3kban oly gyakran haszn\u00e1lt n\u00e9psz\u00e1ml\u00e1l\u00e1si adatokra ez\u00e9rt \u00e9ppen ezekben az igaz\u00e1n \u00e9les helyzetekben nem igaz\u00e1n lehet t\u00e1maszkodni.<\/p>\n

Karsai M\u00e1rton \u00e9s a Szegedi Tudom\u00e1nyegyetemen dolgoz\u00f3 munkat\u00e1rsai ez\u00e9rt elk\u00e9sz\u00edtett\u00e9k a Magyar Adatszolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3 K\u00e9rd\u0151\u00edvet (MASZK), mely, mint a kutat\u00f3 el\u0151ad\u00e1s\u00e1ban elmondta, egyfajta \u201cg\u00f6rd\u00fcl\u0151 n\u00e9psz\u00e1ml\u00e1l\u00e1sk\u00e9nt\u201d naprak\u00e9sz adatokat szolg\u00e1ltat a t\u00e1rsadalom m\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9r\u0151l, kapcsolatrendszereir\u0151l \u2013 k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6s tekintettel a fert\u0151z\u00e9s terjed\u00e9s\u00e9vel kapcsolatos inform\u00e1ci\u00f3kra. Mennyire lelkiismeretesen hordunk maszkot? H\u00e1ny emberrel tal\u00e1lkozunk naponta? Milyen messzire vezetnek jellemz\u0151 utaz\u00e1saink? Az ilyen \u00e9s ehhez hasonl\u00f3 k\u00e9rd\u00e9sekre adott v\u00e1laszok lehet\u0151v\u00e9 teszik a v\u00edrusterjed\u00e9si modellek igaz\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1t a val\u00f3s k\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyekhez, \u00e9s az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek seg\u00edthetik a megfelel\u0151 int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek kiv\u00e1laszt\u00e1s\u00e1t is.<\/p>\n

A k\u00e9rd\u0151\u00edv, melyet 2020. m\u00e1rcus 23-a \u00f3ta t\u00f6bb mint 220 000-en t\u00f6lt\u00f6ttek ki, itt \u00e9rhet\u0151 el. <\/a>Az egyre er\u0151s\u00f6d\u0151 m\u00e1sodik hull\u00e1mban m\u00e9g fontosabb, hogy min\u00e9l t\u00f6bben vegyenek r\u00e9szt napi rendszeress\u00e9ggel a kutat\u00e1sban.<\/p>\n

Jogosan felmer\u00fclhet az agg\u00e1ly, hogy egy interneten, \u00f6nk\u00e9ntesen kit\u00f6lt\u00f6tt k\u00e9rd\u0151\u00edv mennyire reprezent\u00e1lja a t\u00e1rsadalom val\u00f3s helyzet\u00e9t. A kutat\u00f3k erre is gondoltak: minden h\u00f3napban egy reprezentat\u00edv, telefonos k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00e1sban is felteszik a MASZK k\u00e9rd\u0151\u00edv k\u00e9rd\u00e9seit, \u00e9s az itt kapott v\u00e1laszok szerint s\u00falyozz\u00e1k az interneten be\u00e9rkezett, sokkal nagyobb adatt\u00f6meget.<\/p>\n

Az eddigi eredm\u00e9nyekb\u0151l, amint Karsai M\u00e1rton el\u0151ad\u00e1s\u00e1ban elmondta, vil\u00e1gosan l\u00e1tszik, hogy a tavaszi szigor\u00fa korl\u00e1toz\u00f3 int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek olyannyira lecs\u00f6kkentett\u00e9k a t\u00e1rsas kapcsolatok sz\u00e1m\u00e1t, hogy igaz\u00e1b\u00f3l nem is alakult ki Magyarorsz\u00e1gon els\u0151 hull\u00e1ma a j\u00e1rv\u00e1nynak. A kutat\u00f3 \u00e1ltal bemutatott grafikonb\u00f3l az is l\u00e1tszik, hogy a t\u00e1rsas kapcsolatok igaz\u00e1n \u0151sz elej\u00e9n, a szabads\u00e1gok v\u00e9g\u00e9vel \u00e9s az iskolakezd\u00e9ssel emelkedtek meg, \u00e9s mostanra, a szigor\u00fabb int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek hat\u00e1s\u00e1ra kezdtek ism\u00e9t cs\u00f6kkenni.<\/p>\n

Arr\u00f3l, hogy ezeket az adatokat hogyan is haszn\u00e1lj\u00e1k fel a szimul\u00e1ci\u00f3kban, \u00e9s az eredm\u00e9nyek mennyiben seg\u00edthetik a v\u00e9dekez\u00e9st, Karsai M\u00e1rton b\u0151vebben is besz\u00e9l el\u0151ad\u00e1s\u00e1ban, mely itt \u00e9rhet\u0151 el az MTA Youtube-csatorn\u00e1j\u00e1n<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Karsai M\u00e1rton, a Central European University H\u00e1l\u00f3zat- \u00e9s Adattudom\u00e1nyi Tansz\u00e9k\u00e9nek egyetemi docense arr\u00f3l besz\u00e9lt a Magyar Tudom\u00e1ny \u00dcnnep\u00e9n, hogy a v\u00edrusterjed\u00e9s nyomonk\u00f6vet\u00e9s\u00e9hez \u00e9s el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9hez milyen nagy seg\u00edts\u00e9get tudunk mi, polg\u00e1rok is ny\u00fajtani egy egyszer\u0171 k\u00e9rd\u0151\u00edv kit\u00f6lt\u00e9s\u00e9vel.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"cikk_cimkek":[104],"content_flags":[],"content_icons":[],"class_list":["post-10369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-erdmost","cikk_cimkek-koronavirus"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10369","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10369"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10369\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10369"},{"taxonomy":"cikk_cimkek","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cikk_cimkek?post=10369"},{"taxonomy":"content_flags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/content_flags?post=10369"},{"taxonomy":"content_icons","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/erdmost.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/content_icons?post=10369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}